May 1, 2020

Is Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited’s (HKG:1759) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

Is Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited's (HKG:1759) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?


With its stock down 27% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Sino Gas Holdings Group (HKG:1759). It is possible that the markets have ignored the company’s differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company’s financials. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Sino Gas Holdings Group’s ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company’s success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Sino Gas Holdings Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sino Gas Holdings Group is:

5.5% = CN¥20m ÷ CN¥372m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2019).

The ‘return’ is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder’s investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.06.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learnt that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Sino Gas Holdings Group’s Earnings Growth And 5.5% ROE

At first glance, Sino Gas Holdings Group’s ROE doesn’t look very promising. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 10%, the company’s ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. For this reason, Sino Gas Holdings Group’s five year net income decline of 28% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company’s earnings prospects. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

However, when we compared Sino Gas Holdings Group’s growth with the industry we found that while the company’s earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 10% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

SEHK:1759 Past Earnings Growth May 2nd 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you’re wondering about Sino Gas Holdings Group’s’s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Sino Gas Holdings Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Sino Gas Holdings Group doesn’t pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn’t explain why the company’s earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Sino Gas Holdings Group. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 6 risks we have identified for Sino Gas Holdings Group.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.



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